Is Real Estate Predictable?
January 21, 2010 // Posted by: Home & Estate // Category: Real Estate Rumblings
Some research has suggested that asset returns can be predicted with more returns on real estate. The performance will depend on the performance of a buy-and-hold strategy. There is moderate success in real estate in market timing. Real estate stocks also have higher trading profits and greater returns with risk-adjustment. Investors in real estate can get a seller 10 to 20% discount by following the cost-to-sell guidelines. This is performed by subtracting all selling expenses (like closing costs, maintenance, holding costs etc) from the price asked.
There are times when you can get lower discount by asking if you can make a little profit on the deal. You can estimate the price of the house by offering the buyer a lease option or owner financing. This will help you calculate the maximum allowable price you give to the seller. With owner financing, if you get a discount and sell at a premium, it will be easy to create a 15 to 25% equity spread.
Therefore, we see that real estate can be predicted in certain cases. But you must invest in them with the correct knowledge.